BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Dakota St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 1 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (7-1) Overall: (14-1) Overall Strength =  167.11

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   150.16  72   7   1B 124 (  2-  9) Mississippi Valley S  -14.47 *   79.47                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W   172.35  40  13   1B  18 (  7-  4) Eastern Washington      7.72     19.28                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    W   158.93  56   0   1B 112 (  2-  9) Robert Morris PA       -5.70 *   61.70                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 155.78  38  11   1B  46 (  3-  8) Missouri St            -8.86 *   35.86                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 168.70  52   0   1B  94 (  0- 11) Indiana St              4.06 *   47.94                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 156.87  27  24   1B   6 (  6-  5) Youngstown St          -7.76     10.76                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 164.76  24  12   1B   4 (  8-  4) Western Illinois        0.12     11.88                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 165.61  30  14   1B   7 (  8-  5) Northern Iowa           0.98     15.02                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 148.34  21  33   1B   3 ( 11-  3) South Dakota St       -16.30      4.30                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 186.57  49  14   1B   8 (  8-  5) South Dakota           21.94     13.06                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    W * 162.51  20   7   1B   9 (  6-  5) Illinois St            -2.12     15.12                      
 12 12/02/2017 Home    W   166.88  38   3   1B  28 ( 10-  3) San Diego               2.25 *   32.75                      
 13 12/09/2017 Home    W   165.06  42  10   1B  34 ( 10-  3) Wofford                 0.43 *   31.57                      
 14 12/15/2017 Home    W   181.38  55  13   1B  20 ( 12-  2) Sam Houston St         16.75     25.25                      
 15 01/06/2018 Neutral W   165.59  17  13   1B   2 ( 14-  1) James Madison           0.95      3.05                      
      Averages             164.63  38.7 11.6

Best game:  186.57 = 35 point win over South Dakota
Worst game: 148.34 = 12 point loss to South Dakota St
Team stdev:  10.34